CountryWhat is behind the harsh attack on Israel? | SummuraiThis is an audio recording of a blog post published by Shai Eden, translated to English by Talia Gal, recorded and hosted by Summurai. I would like to share with you my post on the geo-political reasons behind the war in Israel. Let us all hope for a peaceful future for the region. I’ll start with a clarification: All my personal speculations. Everything is known and published on the net, I just connected a few points. Despite the hatred and love of death of Hamas, the reason for the timing and size of the event that took place on October 7th lies in the saga of the cold war, which is heating up before our eyes. In the big picture - it's again the immediate suspects: money and power.Those who think that the reason for the attack was only the tremendous hatred of the "zionist oppressors" and the release of the prisoners held in Israel, do not see the big picture. And I'm not talking about the picture of Hamas or the Palestinians, but about the really big picture. According to foreign reports, about 500 militants from Hamas-ISIS and Islamic Jihad participated in exercises in September, led by officers of the Quds Force, the foreign operations arm of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, General Ismail Kaani, commander of the Quds Force participated in the training himself. Intelligence sources all over the world claim that Iran initiated the attack. The Wall Street Journal, quoting senior Hamas and Hezbollah officials, reports that the decision to attack Israel was made at a meeting in Beirut on October 2 in the presence of their leaders. An adviser to the Syrian government and a European official gave the same account of Iran's involvement. So this is Iran. But why?Because usually, despite their monstrous hatred and desire to murder jews, the Iranian leadership is generally very thoughtful. Even when they choose to use direct force, they do so with strategy. After all, they knew that after such an excessive and barbaric act, Israel would lose its temper, pursue senior Hamas officials and attempt to crush it. So what went through the minds of the Shiite leaders? Why did they pull Gaza into a disaster?The answer: because that's exactly what they wanted. Disaster in Gaza.Those who are not satisfied with the answer, "because they are crazy", should go look for the source of the money. Yes, again, the money. It's always power and it's always money, in between it’s religious. But this time it's much bigger. No, not the millions that Qatar transferred to Hamas, not even the money that America pays to the countries of the region. Much more than that. Much, much more than that - this time it's the biggest money war we've ever known.Welcome to the late days of the Cold War. The biggest money was and remains in energy. oil and gas.Just last week Russia announced that Hamas is not a terrorist organization. Isn't that weird? Why would Russia say such a thing? They, who suffers so much from terror? Why are they stoking the fire against us? What does Russia have to do with the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians anyway? Now, I'm not saying that Russia did this to us, God forbid. But I am sure of one thing, and you will immediately understand how simple this math is: the biggest beneficiary of the war - could be Russia, and with it China and Iran. The largest energy transportation projects in the world are owned by the Russian government and China. This is the most invested project in global energy ever, Putin's baby, built over the past two decades, quietly, quietly, in partnership with China in the East. Russia has moved a pipeline system from its territory to half the world, and also to Europe. Yes, to the west. It is a system of pipes that appears imaginary. In just a few years, Russia has reached a tremendous level of control over Europe's energy, this achievement is sometimes unimaginable. Until the Ukraine war, Russia sold about 50% of all gas in Europe, and was its main supplier. A delusional figure by all accounts that dropped to about 20% following the sanctions against Russia that accompanied the Ukraine war, and even less this year. In Europe, gas is not just electricity and stoves, gas is a survival product with which the houses are heated on the frozen snow days, thanks to which there is hot water in the tap.Gas is life. Russia controlled the West by controlling the gas and oil tap. And together with China they are also penetrating the energy market in the Gulf. The one who greatly benefits from this cooperation with Russia and China is Iran. Only last July, Iran signed a gas agreement with Russia in the amount of 40 billion dollars, which joins a lot of other business that exists between the two and between them and China. Iran sits on the second largest gas reserves in the world, after Russia, and it needs to sell it to someone. So, with the help of Putin's pipeline, Iran is selling gas to... the West. Weird, right? Sanctions on Iran? Not when you have Russia on your side. Last year, Russia earned an astronomical amount of 138 billion dollars just from gas exports and another 218 billion dollars from oil exports, and this is despite sanctions imposed on it following the Ukraine war. Putin's pipeline is not just an economic project - it is a colonialist infrastructure project of power and strength. This pipeline has made Russia a semi-monopoly. Putin built this monopoly with the genius of a skilled chess player. Russia was until lately, the largest gas supplier of Europe. It is also the main gas supplier to the rest of the world. This pipeline project was built at record speed over the last 20 years, when the "Nordic Stream" pipeline was built in a year and a half, in partnership with European countries, God knows what they were thinking. This happened when America was busy with its Gulf wars, in Afghanistan and Iraq, in the post-September 11 era. You can say that America fell asleep on guard, and Putin took Europe, and together with China they are taking the East and the Gulf. You must admit it, Putin is a genius. While the West played offensive chess, Putin played strategic chess. But the war in Ukraine has disrupted those plans, and the West has begun to wake up to the realization that dependence on Russia could hurt it. So America and Europe, waking up late to this Monopoly game, belatedly looked for a way to regain its lost control. America's fear was that Russia and China would use this power against the West. And this fear was confirmed in the Ukraine war when Russia closed the gateway to the West, as an ultimatum for the West's support in Ukraine, and in addition one of the pipelines leading from Russia to Germany was hijacked by a mysterious terrorist act. Then the "friendship" became a little less friendly when gas prices soared in Europe, to the point that many families lived in the cold, because they preferred not to buy expensive gas. Gas and oil in the world jumped by 700%. Europe entered existential anxiety and countries like India found themselves on the brink of crisis. America realized that it had to respond to this situation. It is not possible that in every conflict between the West and the East - Putin will close the gas. At first, they lowered the amount of Gas from Russia even more, and started to look for alternatives. Today the west almost took Russia out of the game. And they also found another creative solution for bypass the Russian-China front, thinking that if Putin comes to Europe through the north – they will outsmart him and bypass him - from the south. America's super-ambitious economic project has been given a very friendly name. They called it: "The Abraham Accords". It is a huge peace plan in the gulf, but it's also a huge economic corridor, and it's also a lot of gas. The vision is to produce a territorial sequence of normalized relations that begins in India, through the Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel and from there to Greece, Cyprus and Europe. If Russia comes from the north - America wants to crush it from the south. It is not enough that they no longer buy gas from Russia, now they also intend to supply it themselves. Which will make the need for Russian pipelines to Europe, unnecessary from now one. If you will, this is the Russian-Iranian-Chinese front against the Western-Sunni-Israeli front. Game of Thrones!! Pay attention to the drawing I attached. Above is Russia's crazy pipeline system, below, the corridor of Peace, as presented by Netanyahu himself in his celebratory speech on September 9 of this year, a month before the horrific attack on the Gaza envelope communities, which I have also attached as a video. There is one piece left in the puzzle - Saudi Arabia and Israel do not have official relations.Saudi Arabia itself is looking for a solution for exporting oil and gas from the region. Saudi Arabia is also threatened by the Iranian nuclear program and the rapprochement of the Shiite enemy with China. So we will make "peace". Easy. Everyone will benefit – Sunni Saudi Arabia will sell oil and gas to the West, goods will come from India and bypass China, Saudi Arabia will also compete with Shiite Iran, which it hates, and it will win a military alliance with America and Israel. In fact, America has come up with a strategy that bypasses Russia-China and bypasses Iran – a commodity and energy route from its Sunni Arab friends in the south of the Gulf that will compete with Russia and the Shiites in the north. Saudi Arabia is also deluding itself that it will get approval for atomic energy from the United States, I doubt anyone would dare. But you can never know. Indeed, during the summer of this year, everything gained momentum when Biden and Netanyahu started talking about a historic peace between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Then on September 9, during the G20 conference, Biden announced his own "super plan": the "Peace Train". Not just a train, not just peace - "a real big deal, changing the regional rules of the game", Biden and Bibi’s words. It is about a fast and advanced train that will transport goods between the countries of the Peace Axis of the Abraham Accords, from India to Europe. A wonderful vision in itself. But this train, with all its peace, hides one more important goal under the tracks.... a gas pipeline. Crude oil and gas will be transported by train and advanced, clean gas by pipeline.You are welcome to watch the video I have attached here from the ILTV channel from September 9 this year, and pay attention to the words of Ursula Gertrud von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, who specifically says the words: "a pipeline of clean gas", she tries not to emphasize it too much, but for everyone it is clear what this is about. It should be said that "clean gas" means hydrogen gas, which is friendlier and more efficient to use, which Russia's pipelines do not have. Which, simply put: an upgraded gas pipeline that will make Putin's pipeline obsolete. America will have a bigger pipeline.And this pipeline from India also connects to the pipeline that Netanyahu agreed on with the leaders of Greece and Cyprus in January 2020. The "Eastmed" pipeline that will be the longest in the world between Israel and Greece, and from there to Italy. And Saudi Arabia? It needs this new alliance so much, in order to get rid of Iran, which hates her and to bypass the Russian-Chinese corridor towards Europe. So much so that at the G20 conference the Saudi crown prince announced that his country would invest about 20 billion dollars in the project - even before the peace agreement with Israel was signed. According to them, peace was a done deal. What else can interfere? It is clear to everyone that such a front with this train and pipeline is a disaster for Russia and China. And if it is a disaster for them, it is also a disaster for Iran, because it strengthens its hatred of the Sunnis from the south, and connects them to its hatred of the Zionists from the west. How is it possible for Saudi Arabia to join a united front with the state that Islam dreams of destroying? For Iran, an alliance between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Israel is an indescribable disaster. This connects Saudi Arabia to the military power of Israel, and Israel to the economic power of Saudi Arabia. And that puts Saudi Arabia and Israel as major players in the global energy market. On the other hand, as far as Saudi Arabia is concerned, Iran is a hated Shiite country which also has an atomic bomb, on the way.So how do you sabotage the new front?Easy: killing the peace. Where? How? in Gaza.A few days after the G20 summit, Hamas were already training in Iran, and 3 weeks after the announcement, the meeting with Hezbollah and Hamas took place and the operation to thwart peace was launched. Everything happened in September, which is known in the bible as the “terrible days” for the Jews. On October 3, four days before the attack, Khamenei was quoted criticizing Saudi Arabia for the peace plan, and he concluded his words with a firm sentence: it will not happen.Iran chose Hamas, and not for nothing. Hamas is Sunni, like Saudi Arabia, and they are loved by the public in Saudi Arabia. We think it's all a war to release some Palestinian prisoners or a deep religious agenda, but in the end, it's all about power. For Hamas, striking Israel is a glory, to release prisoners, to give themselves a sense of victory. But as far as Iran is concerned? They don't really care about the small Sunni organization that took over Gaza. Rather, Shiites hate Sunnis so much that some say that they hate Jews even less. It's DNA-level hatred. A hatred that is described in the famous Shiite quote, "Of all God's creatures the dog is the most impure, but a Sunni Arab is worse than the dog." Iran could have chosen Hezbollah to start the war and it might have been an even greater success. But Hezbollah is the real child of Iran, a Shiite religious organization, which it is obliged to protect. But Hamas, the Sunni "dog", which is also an "Arab mob" (Unlike the Iranian Shiites, who are considered Aryan race) can be sacrificed on the altar of the pipeline. Mohammad Daif is stupid enough to think that Iran is in favor of the Gazans, or cares about them. Hamas's hatred of Jews is so great that they will flow with any attack that involves blood and humiliation to Israel. But in order for Iran to torpedo such a significant peace agreement, it is not enough for some small attack in Dizengoff, Tel Aviv, to drag in its wake another short lived pillar of cloud from which peace and Biden's train can be restored. Iran needs something substantial, big, that will resonate throughout the Arab world, until Saudi Arabia can no longer even think about such a peace with Israel. You need something that will last for years. Israel needs to go crazy, for Israel to be so angry that even Biden will not be able to stop it. We need an unforgettable mega-attack, we need a new September-Eleven. We need war. And that's how this disgusting thing that happened in the Gaza envelope settlements got started. Not in the name of the Shiite religious war against the "Zionist occupation", but in the name of money. Not a religeous war - a gas war. But surprise!Saudi Arabia is in no hurry to call off the peace. Because until Saudi Arabia declares that the peace is cancelled, Iran's great goal has not been achieved. Note that the Saudis are quite silent. Israel is crushing their brothers in Gaza and they are trying to keep some opening for peace with Israel and the huge project that is so important to them. It is likely that we will see attempts by Russia, China and Iran to increase the war, to prolong it, with all kinds of games of negotiations to release the hostages and an organized and well-financed global protest, until it touches Saudi Arabia. I just hope that Israel and Saudi Arabia will be smart enough and strong enough to not fall in this trap.  A few anecdotes: The psychotic madness of Hamas and the accompanying Gazans has nothing to do with the big picture. They are murderous wretches who gave the devil free rein to murder and rape jewish women, elderly and children, and they need to be eliminated. At the same time, you also need to understand the big picture. Because from the moment Israel entered the arena of the global energy war, and became a major player - it's a completely new story. We are now a significant player in the Cold War. Israel is not only a central junction between tectonic plates. It is also a major junction between Enormous powers. And it will only increase as peace gets stronger and the train+pipeline gets underway. And I hope it will get going as it is a blessed project for the whole area and world. Hezbollah, right now, is in no hurry to enter the war and not for nothing. Its interest is that the war between Hamas and Israel will only increase and the attention of the Sunni world, which is mainly in Saudi Arabia, will be directed mainly to the defeat of Sunnis. They shoot some anti-tank missiles here and there, but it's lip service, nothing significant. There is a limit to how much they are willing to sacrifice for the Sunni Arab Hamas. Russia went against Israel in public. Also China. It is probably in their interest at the moment that Israel be portrayed as an evil entity in order to push off the peace agreement with Saudi Arabia as far as possible. Russia and China are the main beneficiaries of the crisis. Unequivocal. It also embroils America here and distracts the West from Ukraine. The Emirates, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia are quite silent. Everyone already understands that the peace project is in danger of collapsing, but they keep hope in their hearts for its existence. I hope they will be smart enough to keep it safe. The USA came to Israel like it has never been here before. The aircraft carrier “Gerald Ford” was sent to Israel and another to the Gulf. Biden sits in the Israeli cabinet, what?! Why? What changed tonight? After all, this is Israel again, against a terrorist organization. What huge huge huge interest does America have to protect it this time on such a large scale? Is there some kind of a train/pipeline under threat? Understand, this is the biggest project currently standing between the US and Russia and China. In the dimensions of the Cold War – It's bigger than missiles in Cuba. All of Europe is in favor of Israel without hesitation. The world is divided into West and East. Everyone already understands what is at stake here, it is only us who thinks that it is Israel against the Palestinians and nothing else. Europe would love to be freed from the suffocating hands of the Russian-Chinese front. Not only in gas, but also in commodities and industry. If you didn't understand what Russia wanted from Ukraine, now you know more. their oil and gas, and especially their territory where a significant part of Russia's old pipeline passes. Even though the name of this story is so-called terrorism, again. It is very possible that the big clash between Saudi Arabia and Iran is still ahead of us. For sure, as long as Biden's peace project continues we will see more and more attempts to thwart it by Russia and Iran. Even the peace railway, when it starts to be paved, is going to suffer from "terrorist" attacks along its entire length. Therefore, it is a long road ahead of us - which has only just begun. The Abraham Accords are presented as some tremendous achievement of the great statesman Netanyahu. Come on, it's the huge economic project of America. They initiated it and they planted the seeds and sewed. Anything for the Russia-China bypass. Israel and the arab countries are just another part of the puzzle of the Cold War. It's only sad that the victims had to pay for the power whims of the powers that be. Apparently no one in the world really cares about the Palestinians and their terrorist organizations. They are another tool in the Cold War toolbox. At the same time, it is clear to me that if Iran feels, one day, that it can conquer Israel, it will try. This is a messianic religious issue that is constantly being present in their dreams. That's it, it was long, right? But are you starting to understand the bigger picture?In the end, it's who has the bigger pipeline. Sources: Publications in Israeli and foreign media, Wikipedia. I didn't invent anything. I just connected the dots.summurai.com‣English Transcript‣Hebrew Transcriptבית